A Focused Survey and a Touch of Playfulness

Numerous press clubs exist in cities across Japan, wielding significant influence and playing vital roles in their local communities. At the apex of these stands the Japan National Press Club (JNPC).
For heads of state, presidents, and leaders in politics, business, and academia from foreign countries, speaking at the JNPC serves as a direct message to the Japanese public.

Each New Year, the JNPC compiles a survey for its members' New Year's reception, focusing on the most pressing issues and predicting events of the year. Those who guess correctly are honored at the following spring's reception.

The content of this survey is the result of collective wisdom from representatives of Japan's media. As it distills the media's keenest interests, it has become a well-kept secret among those in the know.

Ten Questions Worth Considering

While presented as a lighthearted diversion, the questions span a wide range, from politics and economics to diplomacy, sports, and entertainment. We present them here, so why not try your hand with a playful spirit?

Japan National Press Club '2008 Prediction Survey Questions'

1. As of December 31st, who is the Prime Minister of Japan?

2. Will a government led by the Democratic Party emerge?

3. Will progress be made on the abduction issue, leading to the normalization of Japan-North Korea relations?

4. Who will be the new Governor of the Bank of Japan? (Note: Toshihiko Fukui's term ends on March 19, 2008)

5. Will the price of crude oil (WTI futures) exceed $120 per barrel during 2008?
WTI (West Texas Intermediate) is one of the most influential international benchmarks.

6. Will Senator Hillary Clinton win the US presidential election?

7. Will the United States launch a military attack on Iran?

8. Will Shuji Nakamura, professor at the University of California and developer of the blue LED, win the Nobel Prize?

9. Will the highest domestic temperature record be broken for the second consecutive year?
Note: On August 16, 2007, temperatures of 40.9°C were recorded in Tajimi City, Gifu Prefecture, and Kumagaya City, Saitama Prefecture, breaking the domestic highest temperature record after 74 years (previously 40.8°C in Yamagata City).

10. Will "Hoshino Japan" win the gold medal in baseball at the Beijing Olympics?