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May 7, 2015

Chapter 19: The Complex Realities of America Becoming a Majority-Minority Nation


Chapter 19: The Complexities of America's Transition from a White Nation


By Shizuyuki Ima




America's Remarkable Population Growth and Its Underlying Factors



In 2006, the total population of the United States surpassed 300 million for the first time. Among developed nations, a declining population is the norm, with most experiencing only modest growth. Yet, the U.S. stands alone among developed countries in its high rate of population increase, largely driven by Hispanic and Asian immigrants. The birthrate among Hispanic Americans, originating from Spanish-speaking regions of Central and South America, is notably high.
Approximately 80% of the estimated over 10 million undocumented immigrants in the U.S. are Hispanic, a significant factor contributing to the overall population growth.

Let's consider a specific statistic: the average number of children born to a woman over her lifetime (total fertility rate) is a high 2.0. However, when broken down by race, white women have 1.8 children, African Americans (Blacks) have 2.2, while Hispanic women have a striking 3.0. This clearly shows that the influx of immigrants with high birthrates, particularly Hispanics, contributes to population growth.

According to future population projections by the U.S. Census Bureau, the population will reach 320 million in 2015 and exceed 400 million by 2050. Among the myriad of statistics available, demographic data is considered the most accurate. In just over 40 years, a new nation of 400 million people will emerge.

Politics and Economy to Be Led by Hispanics



A new nation with a population exceeding 400 million signifies a near-equal balance between minority ethnic groups, primarily immigrants, and the white population, with the former inevitably becoming the majority thereafter. It will be a nation where people of color, rather than white people, take the initiative, a country with diverse religions, ideologies, and preferences.

Naturally, significant changes are expected, particularly in politics and economics. Hispanic American political power will undoubtedly grow, and the economy will not only have to consider Hispanics but will likely be led by them. To reiterate, Hispanic and Asian immigrants and their descendants will become the majority, driving the nation of America.

Generally, population growth expands the economy and contributes significantly to economic expansion. In the U.S. already, companies are actively responding to the trends in Hispanic households, which have a strong influence on consumption and housing investment. For instance, Bank of America, a major U.S. financial institution, is pursuing the Hispanic market as a new revenue stream. As one example, they have begun issuing credit cards to individuals without identification.

Additionally, some banks have started offering home loans to Hispanics. Banks that were previously hesitant to engage in transactions, perhaps due to concerns about credit histories, can no longer ignore the rapid increase in the Hispanic population.

This expansion into new revenue streams is not limited to the financial sector; various companies are also venturing into this growing market.

The Hispanic population numbers approximately 45 million, accounting for about 15% of the total U.S. population. They are the largest ethnic group after whites. Private research indicates that their annual consumer spending will reach $1 trillion within a few years, and their housing purchases will exceed $200 billion.

Regarding the profound changes occurring in America, we Japanese seem to continue viewing it simply as an extension of its immigrant nation status. Yet, the internal transformation within America is substantial. If Japan remains a mere bystander, it risks facing irreversible consequences. It is crucial to recognize this significant shift sooner rather than later.