Lounge
May 7, 2015
Chapter 11: American Melancholy and Mixed Feelings
Chapter 11: America's Melancholy and Complex Feelings
By Shizuyuki Ima
—Why is America the Only Developed Nation Experiencing Population Growth?—
America's population surpassed 300 million for the first time last autumn (2006). It took 39 years to reach this milestone, following the 200 million mark in 1967.
Developed nations like Western European countries and Japan continue to see declining populations, with low birth rates being their primary concern. While some countries, such as France, experience slight growth, this is an exceptional trend.
Population growth can lead to economic expansion, broadening the economic sphere, generating consumption and labor, and fostering a vibrant society.
An expanding younger generation significantly contributes to the burden of social security costs in an aging society. This is truly reassuring and serves as the very engine of economic revitalization.
Why is America's population growing so remarkably compared to other developed nations?
It is essential to understand the unique circumstances of America.
In reality, the surge in immigration is driving America's overall population increase. More than half of the 100 million people added since 1967 are immigrants and their descendants—foreign-born individuals who have acquired American citizenship.
Declining White Population and Rising Immigration
Let's look at some specific figures.
In America, the number of children a woman has in her lifetime (total fertility rate) is 1.8 for White women, 2.2 for African Americans (Blacks), and 3 for Hispanic people of Latin American origin.
While the population is projected to exceed 400 million in the 2040s, by 2050, the proportion of so-called people of color (minority ethnic groups), primarily immigrants, and White people will be nearly equal. Asian populations from countries like China, South Korea, and Japan are also continuously increasing.
It is clear that this balance will undoubtedly reverse thereafter.
This is fundamentally different from a homogeneous ethnic nation like Japan. It is natural that changes in racial composition will have a significant impact on all aspects, including politics, economics, and culture.
An era is dawning where the previously White-dominant America will be replaced by immigrants. The political power of Hispanic communities is already remarkable.
As the White population ages, the immigrant population, which will form the majority, will support their pensions. Political shifts will profoundly transform America. Viewing America as a continuation of the past and engaging with it will lead to confusion. Let us make an effort to understand the reality.
For reference, America's total fertility rate was 2.05 (in 2004), significantly higher than Japan's 1.25 (in 2005).
Furthermore, according to UN estimates, America's population ranks third in the world, following China with approximately 1.32 billion and India with approximately 1.11 billion.